Identify structural opportunities. Navigate business cycles. Manage risk.
The capital cycle is one of the most important drivers of long-term equity returns on 3+ year outlook. We provide capital cycle scores for regions and sectors to help identify the best longer-term investments.
Our leading indicators embed causal discovery, so inputs can adapt over time and allow for better forecasts. The highest conviction opportunities arise when leading indicators diverge from what markets are discounting.
Our LPPL (Log Periodic Power Law) model looks for patterns of herding behavior using asset prices. LPPL Bubble and Crashes are our highest conviction tactical mean-reversion model.
Our models allow us to cover more territory:
All Major DM & EM Economies
Asia Pacific – Europe – Latin America – Middle East & Africa – North America
+250 Macro Assets
Commodities – Equity Regions – Equity Sectors – Fixed Income – FX/Currency
Equities
More than 14k individual stocks
All Time Horizons
Structural (+1 y), Cyclical (6-12 m), Tactical (1d-3m)
CORE FEATURES
Research
Synthesizing our most important perspectives and models into a digestible format. Chart-heavy, Text-lite.
Charts
Search, filter, and favorite 15K+ daily-updating charts. Access analyst curated chart collections with covering all economies and asset classes.
ADVANCED FEATURES
Alerting
Create a watchlist and be alerted when VP’s models trigger for the assets and regions you care about.
Interactive Tools
Engage with VP’s unique indicators for the single stocks and key macro assets that matter most to you.
Data API
Integrate VP’s arsenal of proprietary models directly into your workflow in Python or Macrobond.
Macro Snapshot Report
Summarizes the most important macro factors and our high conviction views each month.
Leading Indicator Watch Report
Reviews our growth, inflation and liquidity indicators for changes in the cyclical outlook across major geographies.
Portfolio Watch Report
Reflects on market action, reviewing ideas and making tactical recommendations.
Thematic Report
Hunting for the next big idea. Examples include: Structural Limits of Fiscal Policy; Shale; Biotech; Commodity Supercycle.
VP Understanding Report
Get familiar with key VP concepts and methods that drive our predictive investment models. Frameworks, methodology,