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: 2011 » 12/2011 » 12/01/2011
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Brent - WTI Continues to Collapse

Who would have thought that when the spread between Brent and WTI crude topped out at $27.88 in mid-October, that we would be back down to levels from January in less than two months.  As shown in the chart below, the spread between Brent and WTI crude oil has completely collapsed in the last six to eight weeks and is now back down to levels last seen in March.

November Auto Sales Hit Two Year High

It's hard to believe that the economy is in a fragile state after looking at today's US auto sales totals for the month of November.

Advice for the European Central Bank: Reduce Interest Rates

On December 8, at its next governing council meeting, the European Central Bank (ECB) should reduce its interest rates by one percentage point to 25 basis points.  Anything less would amount to dereliction of the ECB’s duty to the euro area economy.

Thoughts on Europe, November 2010 and December 2011

Back in November of last year, when Jeff Frieden and I were putting the finishing touches on Lost Decades, we wrote: Many countries with foreign debts in their own currency reduce their real debt burden by allowing their currency to drop in value, so that foreigners get repaid in less-valuable currency.

Back to Overbought

Below is our trading range snapshot for the S&P 500 and its ten sectors.  The Neutral (N) line represents each sector's 50-day moving average, while the white shading represents between one standard deviation above and below the 50-day.  Moves into the red shaded areas are considered overbought, while moves into the green shaded areas are considered oversold.  For each sector, the black dot rep

How to Trade Tomorrow's Employment Report

For tomorrow’s Non Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, economists are expecting growth of 125K jobs for the month of October, which is the highest expected change in NFP since June.

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: all » 2011 » 12/2011 » 12/01/2011